Trump's Completely False Point of View of The Electoral College
- mountroyaltimes
- Jan 11, 2018
- 5 min read
GIF: Vote button.
Before Donald Trump even won the election, he's been claiming that if he'd lose that it could be blamed on the favorable-for-Democrats Electoral College. Most Democrats laughed at the claim, seeing they've been complaining about how the EC (Electoral College) is in favor of Republicans for ever so long.
Our analysis concluded that Trump, as usual, is wrong. The Democrats have a lower hand when it comes to EC votes, which can be considered a proven fact. If you're a Republican, don't simply run away, at least acknowledge the facts and determine whether or not you agree or believe those of which we will propose to you.
What is the electoral college? The EC is the method of which a president is finally elected in the United States of America. Although they claim they 'even out' the popular vote throughout the state, each state is worth a certain amount of point. It's supposed to correlate to the State population, but proportionally doesn't. The amount of delegates or 'points' the State has determines how much the candidate receives. If the majority of Florida (not votes) aims at Trump, then he receives all 29 delegates.
The 2016 election outcome: Although Trump predicted a rare-opposite, the traditional outcome of a Republican-electing presidential election came about in 2016. The elected official did not get the popular vote; the Democrat did. Hillary Clinton had around 65,800,000 votes and the President got a bit under 63,000,000.
Republicans' Debate: The G.O.P. argues that should the EC should remain, and some un-factually argue that it 'already favors Democrats enough' and shouldn't be reformed anyway. They say that should the EC be disbanded, that the election would be 'fully-dependent' on majorly populated states like California and New York. Coincidentally, the political party of those two states are both Democrat.
What the EC map looks like: Here's a photo of what America's currently-declared Electoral College disposal of Delegates to the 50-voting states. The number on top of the state goes directly toward the majority-voted for candidate from the state's population. If a majority of Californians voted Clinton, 55 delegates are given to her.

So, as you can see, the states that have higher populations clearly are given an increase to their delegate count. This means it's fair, right? Wrong.
What the map should look like: For the sake of this article, we'll use Wyoming, a fairly Republican-voting state that has a smaller population (though has 3 delegate votes). You may think 3 is a 'fair' number for the state. Well, you're wrong. If Wyoming gets 3 delegates, this is how the other 49 states' delegates should be distributed. Due note, a blue (D) means that state is usually a Democratic vote. (R) is for Republican, and a purple (?) is swing states or changing vote. The delegate count is followed by a emboldened number that represents the fixed delegate count.
(R) Alabama | 9 | 25 (R) Alaska | 3 | 4 (R) Arizona | 11 | 36 (R) Arkansas | 6 | 15 (D) California | 55 | 201 (D) Colorado | 9 | 28 (D) Connecticut | 7 | 18
(D) DC | 3 | 4 (D) Delaware | 3 | 5 (?) Florida | 29 | 106 (R) Georgia | 16 | 53 (D) Hawaii | 4 | 7 (R) Idaho | 4 | 9 (D) Illinois | 20 | 66
(D) Indiana | 11 | 34 (R) Iowa | 6 | 16 (R) Kansas | 6 | 15 (R) Kentucky | 8 | 23 (R) Louisiana | 8 | 24 (D) Maine | 4 | 7 (D) Maryland | 10 | 31 (D) Massachusetts | 11 | 35 (D) Michigan | 16 | 51 (D) Minnesota | 10 | 28 (R) Mississippi | 6 | 15 (R) Missouri | 10 | 31 (R) Montana | 3 | 5
(R) Nebraska | 5 | 10 (?) Nevada | 6 | 15 (D) New Hampshire | 4 | 7 (D) New Jersey | 14 | 46 (D) New Mexico | 5 | 11 (D) New York | 29 | 101 (?) North Carolina | 15 | 52 (R) North Dakota | 3 | 4 (?) Ohio | 18 | 59 (R) Oklahoma | 7 | 20 (D) Oregon | 7 | 21 (D) Pennsylvania | 20 | 71
(D) Rhode Island | 4 | 5 (R) South Carolina | 9 | 25 (R) South Dakota | 3 | 4 (R) Tennessee | 11 | 34 (R) Texas | 38 | 143 (R) Utah | 6 | 16 (D) Vermont | 3 | 3 (D) Virginia | 13 | 43 (D) Washington | 12 | 37 (R) West Virginia | 5 | 9 (D) Wisconsin | 10 | 30
(R) Wyoming | 3 | 3 Based off of Wyoming's 2017 delegate count.
Total state delegates in 2017 is 538 | With this theoretical delegate map is 1661
How we did the math: Based off of Wyoming's citizens reports; it has/had 585,000 people in a recent 2016 population count of the state. The state is awarded 3 delegates; which means that, if we would form the Electoral College to fit a democracy's fashion of listening to every person's vote, then per every 195,000 Americans - one delegate vote should be given to the state.
195,000/1 = population of state/x when x= amount of delegates in a fair distribution based off of democracy-fashioned popular votes.
Changes to election outcomes? Although this change would be seen as a move to give Democrats more hope, it wouldn't change as much as you think. And it isn't directly a move to give Dems more power; but simply to make the Republican rhetoric of campaigning in states like Wyoming, worth 3 delegates, instead of California, worth 55, knowing that their combined totals of the less-populated states might not get them the wins they want in the popular vote, but will succeed in the EC.
The electoral college degrades the value of the general voter found in majorly and densely populated states like Florida, Texas, California, New York, Ohio, Pennsylvania, and a few others that are fully diminished under today's version. Although it isn't perceived like that, and that President Trump refutes these facts and tries to flip them fully, it's clear that the EC inevitably helps the Republican party. Not with these changes. Here's how the popular-vote would've determined recent elections:
2016 Presidential Election
Hillary Clinton ✓ (ELECTED)
Donald Trump
2012 Presidential Election
Barrack Obama ✓ (ELECTED)
Mitt Romney
2008 Presidential Election
Barrack Obama ✓ (ELECTED)
John McCain
2004 Presidential Election
Note: Bush would've lost the 2000 election to Al Gore. In theory, this estimate goes as if he had won back in 2000 and served.
George W. Bush ✓ (ELECTED)
John Kerry
2001 Presidential Election
Al Gore ✓ (ELECTED)
George W. Bush
1996 Presidential Election
Bill Clinton ✓ (ELECTED)
Bob Dole
1992 Presidential Election
Bill Clinton ✓ (ELECTED)
George H. W. Bush
Unfair, or finally accurate? As you've seen now, Democrats would've won six of the past seven presidential elections. Due note, the only win for Republicans is theoretical for the fact that the Republican candidate would probably not have run again for office after losing the 2000 election. Democratic President Al Gore, from 2000 to 2004, is likely the winning candidate.
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